For those who don’t care about MoviePass and HMNY, please accept my apologies for the content of the past few weeks. In this business, when you’re given data to analyze, you should analyze it. With MoviePass, the data (as conflicting as it has been) has been coming in fast and furious of late. I can see that starting to cool off. Fingers crossed.
Luckily, I have no job to speak of. Aside from my volunteer coaching (a few hours per day; five days a week), I can do whatever I want with my time. When there’s interesting stock analysis to perform, I do perform it. When there isn’t, I read comic books or sit on the beach (or both). You get the picture.
Without writing a long analysis, here’s how my portfolio looks right now…
As usual (dating back to the mid-90s), I’m heavily concentrated in lesser-known names that I hope will become better-known names in time. However, I also have a growing basket of well-known names.
Among the lesser-known names, my top holdings (in alphabetical order) are AEHR, CALM, GAIA, RDCM, and SMSI. Of those, I think SMSI has the best risk/reward. I think GAIA might have the best management, though CALM’s is very good and seasoned. RDCM is arguably in the best competitive position to attack a growing trend.
AEHR is my largest overall position at the moment (due to a combination of factors). SMSI is a close #2 and likely to become #1 after they announce earnings this week.
Among the better-known names, my top holdings (in alphabetical order) include AAPL, AMC, DIS, FB, and WDAY. Of those, I’m most likely to sell (or write calls against) AAPL due to its great one-month run. I’ve already written calls against WDAY, but see them as having the most long-term potential. Would love a chance to buy at $100.
DIS and AMC are coming off of depressed levels and have a great slate of movies to drive them through July. Plus, “the MoviePass effect” may provide a bit of a tailwind. Beyond that, it will be wait-n-see on AMC, but I think DIS still has a bright future ahead.
As for FB, they have the best data on the most people and Instagram just keeps getting better and better. The stock isn’t “cheap”, but I see $200 in their future.
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Disclosures / Disclaimers: I am long all of the stocks listed in this post. However, this is not a solicitation to buy, sell, or otherwise transact these stock or their derivatives. Nor should it be construed as an endorsement of any particular investment or opinion of the stock’s current or future price. To be clear, I do not encourage or recommend for anyone to follow my lead on this or any other stocks, since I may enter, exit, or reverse a position at any time without notice, regardless of the facts or perceived implications of this article.
I am not a financial advisor. Nor am I providing any recommendations, price targets, or opinions about valuation regarding the companies discussed herein. Any disclosures regarding my holdings are true as of the time this article is written, but subject change without notice. I frequently trade my positions, often on an intraday basis. Thus, it is possible that I might be buying and/or selling the securities mentioned herein and/or its derivative at any time, regardless of (and possibly contrary to) the content of this article.
I undertake no responsibility to update my disclosures and they may therefore be inaccurate thereafter. Likewise, any opinions are as of the date of publication, and are subject to change without notice and may not be updated. I believe that the sources of information I use are accurate but there can be no assurance that they are. All investments carry the risk of loss and the securities mentioned herein may entail a high level of risk. Investors considering an investment should perform their own research and consult with a qualified investment professional.
I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am receiving no compensation for it, nor do I have a business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. The information in this article is for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as investment advice or as a recommendation regarding any particular security or course of action.
The sole purpose of this blog/forum is to attract new contacts with professional industry expertise to share research and receive feedback (confirmation / refutation) regarding my investment theses.